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Dover International Speedway is the site of this weekend’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race, which also marks the first race of Round 2 of the 2019 Playoffs. We visit Dover twice a season, and in the first race here, Chase Elliott started on the pole and led a race-high 145 laps before finishing 5th. Martin Truex, Jr., who started 13th, ended up in victory lane after leading 132 laps, while the Chevrolets of Alex Bowman and Kyle Larson followed him to the checkered flag. Kevin Harvick in his Ford finished 4th.

Here are some helpful links to the qualifying results and practice speeds from this weekend.

DraftKings Strategy Breakdown for the Drydene 400

Chase Elliott Jimmie Johnson Fantasy NASCAR 2018
Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images

Here’s the thing about Dover: starting position really matters. Typically we see a lot of the same faces finishing up front here at “The Monster Mile,” and usually those are the same guys that qualify strong as well. So as far as DraftKings strategy goes, what it comes down to is this: don’t be afraid to load up on the high qualifiers a little more than normal.

Just looking back at the last time we were at Dover, the optimal DraftKings lineup ended up being Martin Truex, Jr., Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson, Daniel Suarez, Alex Bowman, and William Byron. They started: 13th, 1st, 3rd, 14th, 5th, and 2nd. Also, as I’m sure you noticed, three of those six are from Hendrick Motorsports, all of which look extremely fast once again this weekend.

On the pole this weekend is Denny Hamlin ($10,700), and one big question most DraftKings players are going to ask is whether or not that should roster him. Chances are you’re already going to throw Kyle Larson ($9,700) on there–since he has the best car this weekend–so rolling the dice with both front row starters means you’re going to need Hamlin to lead a good chunk of this race. So let’s take a look at the last six pole sitters at Dover and their dominator points:

  • 2019-1 = Chase Elliott with 145 laps led, 47 fastest laps
  • 2018-2 = Kyle Busch with 21 laps led, 12 fastest laps
  • 2018-1 = Kyle Larson with 0 laps led, 13 fastest laps
  • 2017-2 = Martin Truex, Jr. with 51 laps led, 38 fastest laps
  • 2017-1 = Kyle Busch with 19 laps led, 44 fastest laps
  • 2016-2 = Brad Keselowski with 7 laps led, 12 fastest laps

So, on average, pole sitters are leading 40.5 laps per race at Dover with just 27.7 fastest laps per race over the last three years. That equals just 24 DraftKings dominator points per race over that span. This weekend, though, I think we’ll see a pretty good performance out of Denny Hamlin. He has a decent long-run car (9th-best ten-lap average in Happy Hour) and a blazing fast pit crew, which will pay dividends on Sunday.

Dover 2 Drydene 400 DraftKings Projections

You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.

DriverStarting PositionDraftKings SalaryAvg Proj FPTSAvg. Projected FinishProj Laps LedDollar Per FPT
Kyle Larson2$9,70064.503.093$151
Martin Truex Jr3$11,60062.902.274$184
Kevin Harvick4$11,10055.403.255$201
Chase Elliott5$10,30052.004.447$198
Kyle Busch18$12,00049.908.618$240
Denny Hamlin1$10,70047.906.662$223
Brad Keselowski16$10,00042.408.80$236
Joey Logano14$9,50042.308.66$225
Jimmie Johnson11$7,80041.108.210$190
Alex Bowman12$8,00040.609.615$197
Clint Bowyer17$8,60039.810.60$216
William Byron6$8,40033.410.215$252
Daniel Suarez15$7,30032.613.20$224
Ryan Newman24$8,20032.417.80$253
Austin Dillon27$6,90030.620.20$225
Ryan Blaney10$9,20030.012.00$307
Erik Jones8$8,80028.912.25$305
Matt DiBenedetto20$7,70028.417.80$271
Kurt Busch9$9,00027.412.80$328
Daniel Hemric31$5,90027.024.00$219
Chris Buescher22$7,10025.620.20$277
Paul Menard13$6,70023.816.60$282
Ty Dillon25$6,50023.822.60$273
Aric Almirola7$7,50023.014.00$326
Bubba Wallace26$6,10022.823.60$268
Michael McDowell28$5,80020.825.60$279
Ryan Preece32$5,70020.427.80$279
Ricky Stenhouse Jr19$6,30020.221.40$312
Ross Chastain34$5,30017.630.20$301
David Ragan21$5,60013.026.00$431
Corey Lajoie29$5,50011.430.80$482
Landon Cassill30$5,20011.231.40$464
Matt Tifft23$5,40011.028.00$491
JJ Yeley35$4,80011.034.00$436
Reed Sorenson38$5,00009.636.20$521
BJ McLeod33$4,90009.433.80$521
Garrett Smithley37$4,70009.435.80$500
Joe Nemechek36$5,10006.436.80$797
As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started.