The Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 is this weekend at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, which is more commonly referred to, simply, as “Loudon.” This is a 1.058-mile race track, and it’s flat, which means we know which drivers should be good here: the same ones who are good at Phoenix and Richmond. Lately that has been Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Kevin Harvick, and Martin Truex, Jr. and there is no reason to think that will change on Sunday.
The Fantasy Racing Online algorithm predicts that Martin Truex, Jr. is going to win on Sunday and that Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano will be right there with him. You can check out the full predicted finishing order for this weekend’s race by clicking here. Now let’s get to the FanDuel projections!
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Optimal Lineup According to Jordan’s Projections
The optimal FanDuel lineup for New Hampshire according to my Projections is:
- Martin Truex, Jr.
- Denny Hamlin
- Joey Logano
- Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.
- Daniel Suarez
Confidence Rating = 7.0/10. This lineup is really banking on Martin Truex, Jr. and Denny Hamlin being the main dominators on Sunday. There’s no doubt that this has the possibility of happening, but you also have to consider pole sitter Kyle Busch as a dominator, as well as possibly Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott. The 2nd-best lineup according to my projections is: Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Aric Almirola, and Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. I think I like that one a little bit better, with the possibility to switch to Suarez instead of Stenhouse as well.
FanDuel “Safe” DFS Picks for Loudon (Cash Lineups)
Joey Logano ($10,800) – Just a criminal under-pricing here by FanDuel when it comes to Joey Logano. The short flat tracks are where Penske excels, and Joey Logano does as well. Over the last six races at Loudon/Richmond/Phoenix, Logano hasn’t finished worse than 4th and in only one of those six races did he lead less than 45 laps. Historically, New Hampshire Motor Speedway hasn’t been a place where Logano dominates (he only has 105 career laps led here) but he’s a solid finisher, with five top 5s in his last ten starts here. Put it this way, even if I were making 1,000 lineups this weekend, Logano would be on every single one of them.
Aric Almirola ($7,500) – With Almirola starting 22nd and only being $7,500 on FanDuel, this is a great value play for a potential top 10 finish. Yes, I said potential top 10 finish. The shorter flat tracks are where Almirola has done really well (even this season), and here at Loudon, he’s finished 7th, 11th, and 3rd in his last three starts here. This season on other shorter flat tracks, AA finished 11th at Phoenix and 6th at Richmond, and last year he came home 8th, 8th, 7th, and 13th in the four races at this track type.
FanDuel “Risky” DFS Picks for Loudon (Tournament Lineups)
Brad Keselowski ($11,500) – Brad Keselowski being priced at $11,500 this weekend, as well as the fact that he starts further up than the drivers priced directly below him, will likely shift some ownership away from one of the better flat track racers in the series. Here at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, Keselowski is the most recent race winner and he has finished 10th or better in five of the last six races at this track (including three top 5s). Looking at the last five shorter, flat track races, BK has finished 4th or better in all but one of them: Richmond this season. Another aspect you have to like about Keselowski this week is that he gets to the front at this track type: since the start of 2020, BK has led in every single shorter flat track race for at least 16 laps each, including 184 in his win here at Loudon last season.
Bubba Wallace ($5,300) – Joe Gibbs Racing runs really well at shorter flat tracks. Bubba Wallace is basically running a fifth Joe Gibbs Racing car this season. Add in the fact that this #23 team is running really well right now (comparatively speaking), as well as the fact that Bubba did better-than-average on this track type with Richard Petty Motorsports last season–19th and 15th at Phoenix in 2020–and I’m loving him more and more as a FanDuel tournament play at this price. The cherry on top is all of the chalk in this price range, specifically Stenhouse, Suarez, and Newman. I love being overweight on Bubba Wallace on Sunday.
FanDuel Driver Projections for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. Also factored in are projected laps led for each driver. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
| Driver | FanDuel Salary | Avg Proj Pts | Starting Position | Ceiling Proj Pts | Dollar Per Pt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | $13,000 | 75.03 | 6 | 83.00 | $173 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | $13,500 | 74.92 | 2 | 81.70 | $180 |
| Joey Logano | $10,800 | 74.60 | 15 | 85.00 | $145 |
| Kyle Larson | $14,000 | 71.87 | 10 | 88.40 | $195 |
| Kyle Busch | $12,500 | 69.80 | 1 | 88.10 | $179 |
| Brad Keselowski | $11,500 | 69.27 | 11 | 77.90 | $166 |
| Kevin Harvick | $11,300 | 67.85 | 12 | 75.10 | $167 |
| Chase Elliott | $12,000 | 64.25 | 3 | 69.00 | $187 |
| Ryan Blaney | $10,500 | 64.20 | 7 | 69.20 | $164 |
| William Byron | $11,000 | 64.10 | 16 | 71.90 | $172 |
| Aric Almirola | $7,500 | 62.85 | 22 | 70.10 | $119 |
| Christopher Bell | $9,000 | 62.35 | 9 | 79.60 | $144 |
| Kurt Busch | $9,500 | 59.15 | 4 | 67.90 | $161 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | $6,000 | 58.85 | 29 | 64.60 | $102 |
| Daniel Suarez | $5,700 | 58.10 | 31 | 71.60 | $98 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $8,000 | 56.35 | 14 | 63.10 | $142 |
| Ross Chastain | $7,000 | 55.60 | 20 | 63.10 | $126 |
| Alex Bowman | $10,000 | 55.35 | 5 | 60.70 | $181 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,300 | 54.85 | 13 | 65.60 | $133 |
| Tyler Reddick | $8,500 | 54.60 | 8 | 65.00 | $156 |
| Cole Custer | $6,200 | 53.10 | 21 | 62.10 | $117 |
| Bubba Wallace | $5,300 | 51.60 | 18 | 63.60 | $103 |
| Ryan Newman | $5,500 | 51.50 | 28 | 59.60 | $107 |
| Erik Jones | $5,000 | 50.25 | 24 | 56.10 | $100 |
| Chase Briscoe | $5,800 | 48.25 | 19 | 58.10 | $120 |
| Ryan Preece | $4,000 | 47.50 | 25 | 59.60 | $84 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,500 | 44.75 | 17 | 55.60 | $145 |
| Corey LaJoie | $3,500 | 43.90 | 26 | 55.60 | $80 |
| Michael McDowell | $4,500 | 42.40 | 23 | 48.10 | $106 |
| Justin Haley | $2,000 | 40.45 | 30 | 45.60 | $49 |
| Anthony Alfredo | $3,500 | 40.30 | 27 | 44.10 | $87 |
| Cody Ware | $3,000 | 38.60 | 34 | 44.60 | $78 |
| B.J. McLeod | $2,500 | 38.10 | 32 | 42.10 | $66 |
| James Davison | $2,000 | 36.65 | 37 | 41.60 | $55 |
| Quin Houff | $2,500 | 36.65 | 36 | 41.10 | $68 |
| Garrett Smithley | $2,000 | 36.50 | 33 | 39.60 | $55 |
| Josh Bilicki | $3,000 | 34.30 | 35 | 39.10 | $87 |
