Advertisement
Home Blog Page 242

FOX Fantasy NASCAR Picks for Indianapolis

Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images

One of the most anticipated races of the season is this weekend, as the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series travels to Indianapolis Motor Speedway (“The Brickyard”) for the Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400. When it comes to races at these big flat tracks, there’s not much comparison to go off of. We only visit Indianapolis once a year, so there’s not a lot of history either. And while some people may thing qualifying matters at this 2.5-mile track, it doesn’t. Over the last five years, an average of two top 5 qualifiers finished inside the top 10 per race, so that means one thing: there’s definitely room for place differential points this weekend.

Thanks to Greg Biffle, Matt Kenseth, and Jamie McMurray, our Fantasy Racing Online FOX Fantasy Auto team had a pretty good score at Loudon last weekend (213 points). We now sit in 1,015th place overall and 4th in our private group. Hopefully we can crack the top 1,000 overall this weekend before heading back to Pocono next week.

FOX Fantasy Auto Picks for the Indy Brickyard Combat Wounded Coalition 400

Photo Credit: Rey Del Rio/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Rey Del Rio/Getty Images

Jimmie Johnson ($8,600) – We had the #48 Chevrolet pegged as one of our potential winners after Friday’s practice sessions, and then when Jimmie failed to make the final round of qualifying, he quickly became a “for sure” pick in this FOX Fantasy Auto game. And at a price point of $8,600? Absolutely. Johnson will roll off the grid from 13th for Sunday’s Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400, but he has a car that can easily contend for at least a top 5 finish. In Practice #1 on Friday, the #48 Chevrolet was on top of the speed chart, and in Happy Hour it ranked 7th with the 4th-best ten-lap average. Jimmie is a four-time winner here at The Brickyard but is actually pretty hit or miss (six top 10s in fourteen career starts). Yes, this #48 team has just one top 10 finish since April, but that is going to end soon, and we think it’s going to be this weekend at Indianapolis.

Jeff Gordon ($5,000) – You had to know at this price point that Jeff Gordon would be one of the most popular picks this weekend. Before qualifying started, he was on nearly 40% of FOX Fantasy Auto teams. Now that qualifying is over and he will start 21st on Sunday, we expect that number to increase. Jeff Gordon is a must-pick in allocation Fantasy NASCAR leagues this weekend, and with his mid-pack starting spot, he just because a near must-start in all leagues that award points on place differential, too. The #88 Chevrolet was 9th-fastest in Practice #1 on Friday and then wound up 25th on the Happy Hour speed chart when they were focusing on race runs. Gordon has a good enough race car to finish inside the top 10 on Sunday, but we have no idea how he’s going to be in those long race conditions. He’s only been out of a race car for half a season, but that’s still quite a while. Jeff definitely knows how to get around his home track of Indianapolis Motor Speedway, though: in the last nine races here, Gordon has finished inside the top 10 seven times, including his win here in 2014.

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images

Joey Logano ($10,200) – One of the more disappointing race cars of the weekend has been this #22 Ford. Logano was 19th-fastest in Practice #1 on Friday and then bumped it up to just 11th-best in the Happy Hour practice session. In qualifying he ended up 14th, though, which is the reason he’s making our roster (probably). Joey has been one of the more solid Fantasy NASCAR picks here at The Brickyard in recent years, with three straight finishes of 8th or better, including top 5s in the last two. We saw last week–once again, it’s been happening all season–that this #22 team is masterful at adjusting on the car during the race and being there at the end, and that’s what we’re hoping happens in Indianapolis on Sunday as well. If we do end up dropping Logano from our roster this week, it will probably be in favor for something that we’re trying to simply get finish points from (like Kyle Busch or Denny Hamlin). If we make that change we will update this post.

EDIT: We’re swapping out Joey Logano for Kyle Busch today.

Matt Kenseth ($10,600) – This is a pick that we’re not 100% confident with, but it’s too good to pass up. The #20 Toyota will roll off the grid from 18th for Sunday afternoon’s Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400, and if Matt Kenseth is able to get up inside the top 7 before the checkered flag waves–which he has done in four of the last five races here–that means we’re looking at a bunch of points in this FOX Fantasy Auto game. Now, the reason we’re not totally confident that Kenseth will be able to get up there is because of how mediocre the #20 Toyota was in practice on Friday (and then qualifying on Saturday). One question you have to ask there is whether the team was just testing, though, because the rest of the Joe Gibbs Racing fleet is super fast heading into the race. We’re willing to “roll the dice,” if you want to call it that, and hope that’s the case with Kenseth this weekend. It’s just too hard to pass up that 18th-place starting spot and all of those potential place differential points.

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images

Kevin Harvick ($13,600) – Because of Jeff Gordon’s super low salary this weekend, it’s really easy to afford the over-priced Kevin Harvick. The #4 Chevrolet is going to roll off the grid from 7th for Sunday’s race at The Brickyard, so there’s a little room for place differential points here. Harvick should be a contender for the win on Sunday, but at this point you have to question whether or not this pit crew is holding him back. Kevin finally made some public comments about his pit crew after the Loudon race last week, and hopefully that lights a fire under their ass. Until they improve, though, we just don’t see Harvick winning another race. Pit stops are a big part of these races and they are hurting him every single week. Harvick has finished 3rd and 8th here at Indianapolis over the last two years and should have a similar race here on Sunday.

Looking for a “off-sequence” drivers? Here’s two:

Paul Menard ($6,800) – There are two tracks on the circuit right now where Paul Menard is a very safe Fantasy NASCAR pick. One of those is Michigan, and the other is Indianapolis. In five of the last six Sprint Cup races here he’s finished 14th or better, and that includes his win on fuel mileage back in the 2011 Brickyard race. The reason that Paul Menard makes a solid “off-sequence” pick in FOX Fantasy Auto this weekend is because he starts 23rd on Sunday, which means that if he is able to get up there to his normal 14th-place finishing position, that’s a nice 36 points from a driver with a relatively low handicap. If you want to go against the masses of people taking Jeff Gordon this weekend, Paul Menard is probably your next best low-dollar option.

Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Kasey Kahne ($8,600) – Kasey Kahne was one of the few “big name” drivers to get eliminated from qualifying after the first round on Saturday. He’ll start Sunday’s race at The Brickyard from 26th, which means there’s some definite room for place differential points this weekend. Believe it or not, Indianapolis Motor Speedway is one of Kasey’s best on the circuit. He owns an average finish of 14.3 here over twelve career starts and has finished inside the top 10 in half of those. He typically qualifies a lot better, but with how this #5 team has been running lately, we’re not overly concerned with picking Kahne. He was 11th-fastest in Practice #1 on Friday and ranked 20th on the Happy Hour speed chart with the 5th-best ten-lap average. We are by no means expecting a top 10 run out of Kasey on Sunday, but if he can manage to finish 15th, that’s 37 points in this FOX Fantasy Auto game. Another nice aspect of picking him? As of this writing, less than 5% of teams owned Kahne.

Enjoy the FREE Fantasy NASCAR content we have here at Fantasy Racing Online? If you’d like to buy us a coffee or a beer, you can by clicking here.

ADVERTISEMENT

Indianapolis Final Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Rankings and Picks

Photo Credit: Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images

Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing players got a couple breaks this weekend. First was Jeff Gordon being placed into the C Group, which means we have an excellent start save option for this week’s race at Indianapolis Motor Speedway as well as next week’s race at Pocono. The second break we got was being able to see practice before locking down–although sometimes it’s more difficult to analyze those practice sessions as opposed to a “normal” weekend. As mentioned in our FOX Fantasy Auto picks post this week, starting position doesn’t mean a whole lot here. With that being said, starting up front is always more re-assuring for the fantasy owner, and we saw the drivers that started up front at Pocono last month also finish there, so that’s something to remember.

Last week at Loudon, we had top 10 finishers Greg Biffle and Ryan Newman on our bench while we started Carl Edwards and Kyle Larson, who both disappointed. We ended up with 234 points and fell down to the 63rd percentile overall.

Yahoo! A Group Pick and Final Rankings for Indy

Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Our initial picks in the A Group for Yahoo! this week were Matt Kenseth and Joey Logano, but after the two practice sessions on Friday, we decided to go with Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson instead. Honestly, that #48 Chevrolet had one of the best cars on Friday, and if he’s going to break out of this little (actually, pretty big) slump he’s in, why not at a track where he’s won at four times? Yes, just one top 10 finish since April is very concerning–and it shows with only 15% of teams rostering Johnson this week–but we can’t argue with speed.

Johnson was fastest in Practice #1 this week and ranked 7th on the overall speed chart in Happy Hour with the 4th-best ten-lap average. Kyle Busch, on the other hand, posted the fastest lap in that final session and had the 2nd-best ten-lap average. He’s also the defending winner of this race. Kyle Busch is probably the safer pick this weekend, but both he and the #48 should be contenders here on Sunday. We’re going to start Kyle Busch, though, because he starts on the pole and he has that badass Skittles paint scheme this weekend. Sometimes you just have to go with the crowd in this game, and Kyle Busch was rostered by almost half of all Yahoo! teams this week.

Photo Credit: Jeff Zelevansky/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Jeff Zelevansky/NASCAR via Getty Images

Kevin Harvick has a car strong enough to contend here on Sunday, and has had one of the best at Indianapolis over the past couple of years as well. But with how this pit crew continues to screw him over week after week, we think it’s better to hold off on using him until the Chase or until changes are made to that crew. Harvick won’t win another race until changes are made. Kyle Busch, Johnson, and Harvick were the three best A Group drivers on Friday, but Denny Hamlin through his name into the mix by focusing on race runs in Happy Hour and posting the best ten-lap average. He’s also finished top 5 in the last two Brickyard races, so he’s a nice off-sequence pick as well. The rest of the A Group drivers are top 10 at best going into Sunday but you never know how these races are going to play out. If you have any of the four mentioned above on your roster, though, we think you have to start one of those guys. One note we would like to make about Joey Logano: he has been disappointing this whole weekend, and we’re not sure why. He’s been really good here over the last few years, but this might be the Brickyard race to avoid him…

Final A Group Rankings: (1) Kyle Busch, (2) Kevin Harvick, (3) Jimmie Johnson, (4) Denny Hamlin, (5) Brad Keselowski, (6) Kurt Busch, (7) Matt Kenseth, (8) Joey Logano

Yahoo! B Group Picks and Final Rankings for Indy

Credit: Matt Hazlett/Getty Images
Credit: Matt Hazlett/Getty Images

Carl Edwards made our roster this weekend but it was only for potential qualifying points, so that eliminates him as a potential starter right away. That leaves Ryan Newman, Tony Stewart, and Kasey Kahne, all of whom had pretty good practice sessions on Friday. “The Rocketman” had good speed off the truck, which doesn’t happen often. He was 5th-fastest in Practice #1 and ranked 4th in Happy Hour. He hasn’t finished worse than 12th here at Indianapolis since the 2010 season, and that streak includes his win here in 2013.

Kasey Kahne has also looked pretty good this weekend, ranking 11th on the Practice #1 speed chart and 5th on the ten-lap average chart in Happy Hour. It’s never easy to trust Kahne but he does have six finishes of 13th or better in the last eight Indianapolis races and has been running pretty well overall over the last few months. Tony Stewart has been as well, with four finishes of 7th or better in the last five Sprint Cup races. He’s making his final start here at The Brickyard on Sunday and that #14 team has been improving on the car all weekend long. Smoke may not look like a great fantasy option heading into the Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400, but he should be there in the end.

Photo Credit: Daniel Shirey/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Daniel Shirey/NASCAR via Getty Images

As far as the other B Group drivers go, Carl Edwards has finished between 13th and 15th in four of the last five Indianapolis races. He’s shown decent speed this weekend but we don’t think it’s worth a start. Martin Truex, Jr. should at least be a top 10 threat (if not top 5), but he’s still hitting bad luck on a pretty consistent basis. We think there are other viable B Group options to use to save a Truex start. Speaking of bad luck, Kyle Larson says that he’s running into that a lot lately, but we disagree. We think it’s an incompetent crew chief on the pit box. Still, Larson has finished 7th and 9th in his two career Brickyard starts and posted a top 5 lap in Happy Hour on Friday.

Jamie McMurray and Austin Dillon have shown top 15 potential this weekend, and Paul Menard is one of the most consistent top 15 finishers here at Indianapolis (five in the last six races). If you’re looking for a sleeper, A.J. Allmendinger is your guy. He had top 15 speed in both practice sessions on Friday and has never finished worse than 23rd in seven career starts at this track. Greg Biffle is running well as of late and getting top 10 finishes, but it’s the same story every week: he never looks that good in practice or qualifying (or both) so it’s hard to recommend him with confidence. By the way, we plan on starting Tony Stewart and Ryan Newman on Sunday.

Final B Group Rankings: (1) Tony Stewart, (2) Martin Truex, Jr. (3) Carl Edwards, (4) Ryan Newman, (5) Austin Dillon, (6) Kyle Larson, (7) Jamie McMurray, (8) Greg Biffle, (9) Kasey Kahne, (10) Paul Menard, (11) Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. (12) Trevor Bayne, (13) Danica Patrick, (14) A.J. Allmendinger, (15) Aric Almirola, (16) Casey Mears, (17) Clint Bowyer

Yahoo! C Group Pick and Final Rankings for Indy

Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images

Yahoo! Fantasy Auto players that haven’t been wise with their Chase Elliott and Ryan Blaney starts this season got a huge–huge!–gift this weekend when it was announced that Jeff Gordon will race here at Indianapolis and was then subsequently placed into the C Group. No matter what your start situation is with these lower drivers, you have to have Jeff Gordon as your C Group starter this weekend. The only excuse not to is if you don’t have him on your team, and if that’s so, we can’t help you. Gordon is in top tier equipment, if a five-time winner at this race track, and has seven top 10 finishes in the last nine Brickyard races. Jeff Gordon should be the C Group starter for everyone playing this game, no questions asked. In order to make the start math work this season, you basically have to. Plus, he was pretty speedy in practice this weekend, posting the 9th-best lap in Practice #1 on Friday.

Final C Group Rankings: (1) Ryan Blaney, (2) Chase Elliott, (3) Jeff Gordon, (4) David Ragan, (5) Michael McDowell, (6) Chris Buescher, (7) Landon Cassill, (8) Regan Smith, the rest

Enjoy the FREE Fantasy NASCAR content we have here at Fantasy Racing Online? If you’d like to buy us a coffee or a beer, you can by clicking here.

ADVERTISEMENT

DraftKings NASCAR Drivers to Avoid for Indianapolis

Photo Credit: Daniel Shirey/NASCAR via Getty Images

The cream is going to rise to the top here at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on Sunday, and that typically means they will be the highest-priced DraftKings drivers. We’re set to run 160 laps at The Brickyard this weekend, which means there’s only going to be 40 bonus points for laps led and 80 bonus points for fastest laps. Therefore, you need to focus on place differential points this week, which actually shouldn’t be that big of a problem, as we’ve seen plenty of drivers come through the field here at Indianapolis in recent years. That also means that many drivers starting up front will fall back, and those are the ones you need to avoid in DraftKings. One stat to remember: of all the top 10 finishers here at The Brickyard in the last five years (50 total), only an average of two per race ended up finishing inside the top 10 (equaling 10 total).

DraftKings Drivers to Avoid for the Indy Brickyard Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400

Photo Credit: Kevin C. Cox/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Kevin C. Cox/NASCAR via Getty Images

Carl Edwards ($9,900) – Maybe we’re still holding a grudge from last week’s disappointing race from Carl Edwards, but he won’t be on any of our Brickyard DraftKings rosters. For the second year in a row, Edwards will be starting on the front row here at Indianapolis, but we don’t see him contending for the win–let alone a top 5. Carl is a pretty consistent performer at this track, but three top 10s in eleven career starts here doesn’t help us this weekend. And only one top 5 finish here, back in 2008? Yeah, don’t fall for the trap. Just because the #19 Toyota is able to put down one fast lap here at The Brickyard doesn’t mean that it will be good during the actual race. We don’t expect Edwards to be terrible on Sunday, but we think he’s–at best–a top 10 car. With him starting 2nd on Sunday, that means you’re going to be giving up points right off the bat, and we don’t see Edwards leading many (if any) laps, either.

Kyle Larson ($8,600) – Kyle Larson is an interesting Fantasy NASCAR prospect this weekend, and because of that it’s pretty frustrating from a handicapping perspective. Honestly, we could see him finishing anywhere between 5th and 20th, and the reason behind that is because of his crew chief. We’re not convinced that Chad Johnston is a capable Sprint Cup crew chief (see his tenure as Tony Stewart’s), and it seems like he’s one of those that throws different adjustments at the car and hopes for the best. Sometimes it works, yes, but more often than not it doesn’t. The good thing that Larson has going for him this weekend is his history here at Indianapolis (average finish of 8th in two career starts), but with him starting 10th on Sunday, that doesn’t leave a whole lot of room for place differential points, and there’s a ton of risk that comes along with it. Not worth it, in our opinion.

Photo Credit: NASCAR Media
Photo Credit: NASCAR Media

Chase Elliott ($9,200) – That’s a high price to pay for a driver that has four straight finishes outside of the top 20 (and three straight outside of the top 30). We don’t deny that Chase Elliott has the talent and car to run well here at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, but it’s hard to overlook that slump he’s in. Additionally, Elliott had been one of the most popular DraftKings drivers this season, and that is probably going to be the case this weekend once again because he qualified 15th. So, by playing the strategy game, there’s an opportunity there to gain a lot of points on your competition in the event that Elliott has race day struggles once again. He’s never made a Sprint Cup start at this race track but he’s made two career starts here in the Xfinity Series with finishes of 12th and 10th.

Jamie McMurray ($7,400) – Jamie Mac is a former Brickyard winner but he’s been a perpetual source of disappoint (from a Fantasy NASCAR perspective) this season, and that’s probably going to continue here on Sunday. In the four races here from 2008 to 2011, McMurray posted four finishes of 6th or better (including his win), but in the four races here since then, his best result has been 15th. We expect that streak to go to five after this weekend, and with Jamie’s qualifying effort of 9th on Saturday, that means he’s not going to be that great of a DraftKings selection this weekend, even at that lower price point. The #1 Chevrolet was outside of the top 10 in both practice sessions on Friday.

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images

Brad Keselowski ($9,800) – Brad Keselowski has a career average finish of 13.3 here at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, and that’s actually pretty impressive when you consider the fact that he’s never had a result better than 9th at this track. In four of the last five Brickyard races, Keselowski has ended up between 9th and 12th, but a result like that isn’t going to cut it for DraftKings this weekend. The #2 Ford wound up 5th in qualifying on Saturday, which was actually a nice surprise because the Penske Fords have both been pretty mediocre all weekend long thus far. One interesting thing to note is that in the six races that Keselowski has qualified inside the top 5 this season, he’s finished inside the top 5 in five of them. We just don’t see it happening this weekend, and with that $9,800 price tag associated with BK, we just think there’s quite a few better options in DraftKings this weekend.

Enjoy the FREE Fantasy NASCAR content we have here at Fantasy Racing Online? If you’d like to buy us a coffee or a beer, you can by clicking here.

ADVERTISEMENT

Indianapolis Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Rankings and Strategy Picks

Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/NASCAR via Getty Images

The annual Brickyard race is this weekend at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, which is a very big (2.5-mile) flat track. Like last weekend at Loudon, you should once again expect the Joe Gibbs Racing Toyotas to be the class of the field in Sunday’s Crown Royal Presents the Combat Wounded Coalition 400. The biggest storyline of the weekend, however will be whether or not Dale Earnhardt, Jr. is going to be back racing in that #88 Chevrolet, or whether Jeff Gordon will replace him. As of this post, there was no official word on that, but as soon as news breaks, we will come back and update our post–as that could have big implications on our picks and rankings.

[EDIT: It was announced on July 20, 2016 that Jeff Gordon will replace Dale Earnhardt, Jr. at Indianapolis and at Pocono next week. He is in the C Group.]

Yahoo! A Group Picks and Ranking for Indy

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/NASCAR via Getty Images

Matt Kenseth (8 starts remaining) – We have a feeling that, for the second week in a row, Sunday’s race is going to favor the Joe Gibbs Racing Toyotas in a big way. Indianapolis is a very big and very flat race track, and those JGR engines should shine on Sunday. Last week, Matt Kenseth grabbed his third career win at Loudon, and he should be a factor here in Indy as well–despite the fact that he has never been to victory lane here. With that being said, Kenseth has posted seven top 5 finishes in his sixteen career starts here (46.7%) and has ended up 7th or better in each of the last three races here, which all happened while he was in a Gibbs car. With eight starts remaining, we’ll gladly put Kenseth on our team this week to try and save some Harvick and Kyle Busch starts for when it really matters: the Chase.

Joey Logano (7 starts remaining) – Initially we had Kyle Busch in this spot, but as of now we’re leaning toward putting Logano on our Indy team. The main reason is because we’re down to 6 starts remaining with Busch and we would like to preserve them if possible. Plus, Logano has turned into a pretty good racer, and with the comeback that this #22 team had at Loudon last weekend, that had to give them a big boost of confidence. Luckily for fantasy owners, Logano probably won’t be using an experimental setup at Indianapolis this weekend due to the fact that it’s not a Chase race and we only visit this track once a year. He just wants to kiss the bricks. Joey posted a career-best finish of 2nd here last season and that makes it two top 5 finishes in a row for him at this track. As far as average driver rating, Logano’s 113.5 average over the last two years here is 3rd-best behind Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch.

Last weekend, Kyle Busch had a dominant race car at Loudon but faded in the second half. That seems to be a trend with this #18 team right now. With that being said, Busch is the defending winner of this race and has finished 1st or 2nd in three of the last four races here. He should be a contender this weekend, as should Kevin Harvick (like normal). We’re still questioning Harvick’s clutch gene, though. Denny Hamlin has back-to-back top 5 finishes here at Indianapolis but has just one top 5 in the last six Sprint Cup races. And speaking of momentum, Jimmie Johnson once again finished outside of the top 10 at Loudon last week. He’s a four-time winner here at Indy, though, so you can never count him out. Brad Keselowski has never finished better than 9th here but we think that could easily change this weekend. Kurt Busch has one top 5 finish in fifteen career starts here.

UPDATE AFTER PRACTICE: Jimmie Johnson has a very fast race car and this could be the race he finally turns things around. Denny Hamlin also showed quite a bit of speed in Happy Hour on Friday. We’re switching to Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson in the A Group for Indianapolis.

Pre-Lockdown A Group Rankings: (1) Kevin Harvick, (2) Kyle Busch, (3) Matt Kenseth, (4) Jimmie Johnson, (5) Denny Hamlin, (6) Joey Logano, (7) Brad Keselowski, (8) Kurt Busch

Yahoo! B Group Picks and Ranking for Indy

Greg Biffle at Las Vegas
Photo Credit: Patrick Smith/NASCAR via Getty Images

Greg Biffle (8 starts remaining) – We’re still kicking ourselves for not starting Greg Biffle at Loudon last weekend. However, you can’t dwell on the past in Fantasy NASCAR, only focus on the future. That now makes it three straight top 10 finishes for this #16 team, and while they may not have that kind of finish in the bag heading into this weekend’s race at Indianapolis, it wouldn’t surprise us one bit if the #16 Ford wound up in a good spot when the checkered flag flies on Sunday. It’s no secret that the Roush-Fenway Fords have majorly improved this season, so while Biffle’s last three finishes here aren’t great (19th, 13th, and 24th), you can’t overlook the fact that he had five straight top 10s here at The Brickyard from 2008 to 2012. This is a bit of a risky pick, but if starting Greg Biffle turns out to be a good choice, he makes a great start save option in Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing this week.

Tony Stewart (8 starts remaining) – The “feel good story” of the season continued at Loudon last weekend as Tony Stewart came home with a solid 2nd-place finish–his third top 5 in the last four Sprint Cup races and fourth finish of 7th or better in the last five. Now we’re at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, which is Smoke’s home race track–and statistically the best track on the circuit for him. Stewart owns a career average finish of 9.7 here over his seventeen starts and has kissed the bricks twice, most recently back in 2007 when he was still driving for Joe Gibbs. We’re sure Smoke would love nothing more than to win here at The Brickyard in his (probably) final attempt, and we can’t say that he won’t have a shot, especially with how this team is running. Stewart has had a rough past two years here at Indianapolis (finishes of 28th and 17th) but he qualified well in those races (4th and 6th) and before that he had nine top 10 finishes in the last ten Brickyard races. It’s starting to seem like Tony Stewart is back to his old summer self and that means you should hop right on that bandwagon sooner rather than later.

Ryan Newman (6 starts remaining) – “The Rocketman” is another Indiana-born driver that can always be counted on for a pretty good finish when we stop at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Newman won this race from the pole back in 2013 but that’s one of just three top 10s in fifteen career starts here. With that being said, he has finished inside the top 15 in seven of the last eight races ran here, and that’s right about where we envision the #31 Chevrolet ending up on Sunday as well. Momentum-wise, Newman has six finishes of 12th or better over the last seven Sprint Cup races and looks to finally be getting back into that groove as “Mr. Consistency.” There might be some other options in the B Group this week that can replace Newman, but we feel like he’s one of the safer options available and we still have 6 starts remaining with him.

Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Kasey Kahne (7 starts remaining) – As far as top 10 finishes go, Kasey Kahne is batting .500 here at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with six of them posted in his twelve career starts. What we like even more, though, is the fact that he has ended up 13th or better in six of the last eight races here, and that kind of reliability from Kasey Kahne is rare. This #5 team has been bringing very fast race cars to the track for the last month or two and we fully expect that trends to continue at The Brickyard this weekend. As mentioned before, it takes elite equipment to run well at a track like Indy, and you can’t say Hendrick Motorsports without thinking of it as elite. Statistically, this is one of Kahne’s better race tracks on the circuit, and his 158 career laps led here is 4th-most among active drivers.

Martin Truex, Jr. should have another great race car at Indianapolis this weekend, it’s just going to come down to whether or not he can get the finish he deserves. That doesn’t happen more often than it does. Truex did finish 4th in this race last year, though, and would be on our roster if we had more than 4 starts remaining. Carl Edwards is in a Gibbs car and should have plenty of speed this weekend, but he hasn’t had a top 5 finish at Indianapolis since 2008 and we think his starts will be more valuable later on down the road. He still may make our roster as a backup plan, though. In two career starts here, Kyle Larson has finished 7th and 9th, but that #42 team is starting to under-perform again and we don’t like that. If we had more starts with him (we have 4), he’d still probably make our roster, though. Expect another mid-teens finish out of Austin Dillon this weekend. Not a great pick, but not a bad pick, either. He’s a pretty safe option. Another guy that will be a solid pick is Paul Menard, who has finished 14th or better in five of the last six Brickyard races–including that fuel mileage gamble win in 2011.

EDIT: We’re putting Carl Edwards on our roster instead of Greg Biffle. We’re just putting the #19 Toyota on there for potential qualifying points, we have no intention of starting him on Sunday.

Pre-Lockdown B Group Rankings: (1) Martin Truex, Jr., (2) Carl Edwards, (3) Tony Stewart, (4) Kyle Larson, (5) Ryan Newman, (6) Austin Dillon, (7) Kasey Kahne, (8) Paul Menard, (9) Jamie McMurray, (10) Greg Biffle, (11) Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., (12) Aric Almirola, (13) Trevor Bayne, (14) A.J. Allmendinger, (15) Danica Patrick, (16) Clint Bowyer, (17) Casey Mears

Yahoo! C Group Picks and Ranking for Indy

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images

Unless we somehow get super lucky and Jeff Gordon is placed into the C Group this weekend (we’re assuming he’s going to race for Dale Earnhardt, Jr., but there’s nothing official), we think you have to go with the two rookies: Chase Elliott and Ryan Blaney. Those two have the very best equipment of everyone in the C Group, and that’s what it takes to run well here at Indianapolis. Our plan of attack for Indianapolis is to start Ryan Blaney, and for a few reasons: (1) he ran this race last season and came home 12th, (2) the #21 team seems to be at their best at the flat tracks, and (3) Chase Elliott is in a bit of a slump, so we’re going to wait for him to get out of his funk before unleashing him again. We still have 7 starts remaining with Blaney so we’re not too concerned about using one this weekend. If you’re really looking to start save, there aren’t many great options, but we’d say Regan Smith is the best–he finished 22nd at Pocono (another big track) and he ended up 18th and 3rd in his last two starts here at Indianapolis, although it should be noted that was back in 2012 and 2011 and he was racing with Furniture Row.

EDIT: It looks like Jeff Gordon is a C Group driver. We are taking off Chase Elliott and putting Jeff Gordon on our team.

Pre-Lockdown C Group Rankings(1) Ryan Blaney, (2) Chase Elliott, (3) Jeff Gordon, (4) Regan Smith, (5) Michael McDowell, (6) Landon Cassill, (7) David Ragan, (8) Chris Buescher, (9) Matt DiBenedetto, (10) Brian Scott, the rest

Enjoy the FREE Fantasy NASCAR content we have here at Fantasy Racing Online? If you’d like to buy us a coffee or a beer, you can by clicking here.

ADVERTISEMENT

Loudon Race Day NASCAR Betting Selections

Photo Credit: Rey Del Rio/Getty Images

The New Hampshire 301 is this afternoon at Loudon and we have Jimmie Johnson on the pole. It seems like the races that we run here rarely have the winner that most people expect. Today, Kyle Busch–who starts 2nd–is the favorite (+450) followed by Kevin Harvick (+600) and then Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, and Jimmie Johnson all at (+725). Track position is going to be important today, as is having a mistake-free race by both the driver and the pit crew. And don’t forget that it’s not uncommon to see the races at Loudon come down to fuel mileage.

Race Day Betting Picks for the Loudon New Hampshire 301

The driver odds in this post are accurate as of 10:00 am ET on July 17, 2016 and came from Bovada.

Photo Credit: Rainier Ehrhardt/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Rainier Ehrhardt/Getty Images

BET OF THE DAY: Carl Edwards Top 5 Finish (EVEN) – The sports books aren’t really high on Cousin Carl this weekend but we are. This #19 Toyota has been fast all weekend long and would probably be starting inside the top 5 if Martin Truex, Jr. didn’t knock Edwards out of qualifying at the last minute. On Saturday, most of the garage was pointing toward that #19 Toyota in the morning session, and for good reason: Edwards had the fastest lap, best five-lap average, and best ten-lap average. In Happy Hour he was 8th-fastest on the overall speed chart and ranked 2nd in ten-lap average. And even though Carl only has three top 5 finishes in twenty-three career starts here at Loudon, you can’t discount the fact that he is now in Joe Gibbs Racing equipment (they have a definite advantage here) as well as the fact that Edwards has been one of the best at similar tracks this season–2nd at Phoenix, 1st at Richmond, 1st at Bristol, 6th at Martinsville. Carl has never won here at New Hampshire Motor Speedway but we seriously think he is one of the legitimate contenders here today. So much so that we’re also putting money on him to win the New Hampshire 301 (+750) as well.

Toyota Winning Manufacturer (+130) – When you look at the drivers that should be contending for the win today, it’s dominated by those driving Toyotas. We have Kyle Busch ranked #1 heading into today’s New Hampshire 301, followed by teammate Carl Edwards–both Toyotas. We have Kevin Harvick ranked P3, but that team seems to have lost it’s clutch gene as of late, although they do have a good car today. Brad Keselowski is 4th on our list today, but his car hasn’t shown race-winning speed this weekend, at least in our opinion. We then have Matt Kenseth in 5th, who has a car fast enough to win but is going to have to overcome the mid-pack starting spot. In other words, we would be surprised if a Toyota wasn’t in victory lane today. Looking at the last eight races here at Loudon, Toyota owns five wins, Ford has two, and Chevrolet has one–way back in 2012 with Kasey Kahne.

That’s really the only bets we have this week. None of the driver matchups looked very good to us.

ADVERTISEMENT

Advertisement

William Byron Liberty University Paint Scheme 2021 Nashville Superspeedway

Coca-Cola 600 Starting Lineup if Qualifying is Rained Out

0
Practice and qualifying for this year's Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway are scheduled to take place on Saturday evening, but the weather forecast...

Advertisement