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Charlotte Final Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Rankings and Picks

Photo Credit: Rainier Ehrhardt/Getty Images

Thanks to an early lockdown this week, we really didn’t have the chance to change our Yahoo! picks for this weekend’s Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, but we’re not too upset about that. We’re still going into this race with the mentality that the most stable teams are definitely going to be the ones to beat on Sunday night. It may not seem like a whole lot, but 100 extra miles is 100 extra miles. The two major things to remember this weekend are: 1.) This is a long race, and we’re going from late afternoon into night. The track is going to change a lot. And 2.) the practices held on Saturday were both in the middle afternoon, so we aren’t relying on those speeds as heavily as some other weeks.

In the last race, our Yahoo! team finally had a good week with 322 points at Dover. The bad news? We had race winner Matt Kenseth on our bench. The good news? We got a 2nd-place finish out of Kyle Larson and a nice 17th-place finish from David Ragan. We’re now in the 42nd percentile and going for another big points week at Charlotte on Sunday with the “heavy hitters.”

Yahoo! A Group Pick and Final Rankings for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Robert Laberge/Getty Images

The two choices we have in the A Group are Kurt Busch and Matt Kenseth, and it’s pretty much a no-brainer choice for us: we’re starting Kurt Busch. Not only does he start higher up (13th compared to 27th) but the #41 Chevrolet was faster than the #20 Toyota (by a pretty wide margin) in both practice sessions on Saturday. Also, Kurt Busch has been a top 10 machine all season long and we see no reason why that would change this weekend. In an ideal world, we would start Jimmie Johnson, but we left him off this week. He’s got the best car in the A Group by far. Harvick is always a top 5 threat but we’re not sure we would use him this week even if we had him. He’s good but not great. Joey Logano is on the front row for this year’s Coca-Cola 600 and is a nice play as well, and if you have Brad Keselowski he should be solid on Sunday night, too. We wouldn’t waste a Kyle Busch start this weekend.

Final A Group Rankings: (1) Jimmie Johnson, (2) Kevin Harvick, (3) Joey Logano, (4) Kurt Busch, (5) Kyle Busch, (6) Brad Keselowski, (7) Denny Hamlin, (8) Matt Kenseth, (9) Dale Earnhardt, Jr.

Yahoo! B Group Picks and Final Rankings for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/NASCAR via Getty Images

Yeah, we’re already down to 6 starts left with Martin Truex, Jr., but we’re going to have to start him this weekend. The #78 Toyota is definitely the car to beat heading into Sunday night’s Coca-Cola 600, and we’re not going to pass up the chance at all those points for a win and the most laps led. Truex arguably had the best car here at Charlotte last season, and he might be even better this time around now that he has switched to Toyota. He had the best speed in both practice sessions on Saturday–which is significant because the track conditions were very different between the two–and has been fast off the truck. We have start saved for many races this season but we just can’t do it with this weekend’s Coke 600. Truex is a lock.

Our second B Group pick is where things become a little interesting. We have Carl Edwards on our roster, but honestly we don’t see the #19 Toyota as a legitimate threat to win on Sunday night. Yeah, he’s going to have a solid top 10 car and will probably end up inside the top 5, but not race-winning material. Our other choices are Kyle Larson and Austin Dillon, who have both had up-and-down weekends.

Photo Credit: Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images

Between the #42 and #3 Chevrolets, the obvious pick is Larson. Not only did he race very well during the All-Star Weekend one year ago, but he has just had a bunch of speed over the last three or four weeks overall. If he can keep his car off the wall on Sunday night, there’s definite potential there for a good finish. Meanwhile, Austin Dillon typically isn’t that great of a Fantasy NASCAR pick unless he starts 15th or better, and he’s going to roll off the grid from 28th for Sunday’s race. Not ideal.

If we were going for max points, we would pair Carl Edwards with Truex this weekend. However, we still have the strategy aspect to consider with this Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game. So we’re going to go with Martin Truex, Jr. and Kyle Larson as our B Group drivers for this year’s Coca-Cola 600. If you have Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. on your team this weekend, there hasn’t been a better time to use him. He starts 3rd and looks to have the speed for another solid top 15 finish. The other Roush-Fenway drivers–Greg Biffle and Trevor Bayne–are also some good start-saving sleeper options this weekend, and Paul Menard could surprise some people as well.

Final B Group Rankings: (1) Martin Truex, Jr., (2) Carl Edwards, (3) Kyle Larson, (4) Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., (5) Austin Dillon, (6) Ryan Newman, (7) Greg Biffle, (8) Paul Menard, (9) Trevor Bayne, (10) Jamie McMurray, (11) A.J. Allmendinger, (12) Tony Stewart, (13) Kasey Kahne, (14) Aric Almirola, (15) Casey Mears, (16) Danica Patrick, (17) Clint Bowyer

Yahoo! C Group Pick and Final Rankings for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images

Chase Elliott is the best pick in the C Group this weekend. Heading into Sunday night’s Coca-Cola 600, he has a legitimate shot at a top 5 finish. Ryan Blaney is looking at a high teens finish with a possible top 10 if luck is on the #21 team’s side–which it has been as of late. However, we still have to look at this Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game from a strategic perspective, and we’re already down to 6 starts remaining with Chase Elliott. We have 8 left with Ryan Blaney. So, because of that, we’re going to roll with the #21 Ford and Ryan Blaney on our Yahoo! team this weekend. If you have 7 or more Chase Elliott starts remaining, we’d recommend going with him, though.

As far as start saving options, we really wouldn’t recommend starting anyone else this weekend. This is a 600-mile race that is going to take a toll not only on the drivers but also the race cars. Sorry but we don’t want to rely on some underfunded team in a race like this. Brian Scott is typically the one other C Group driver that we might look at, but he starts way back in 30th so there goes that. Chris Buescher qualified 22nd for Sunday’s Coke 600 but that seems to be about the only thing he can do well this year: qualify.

Final C Group Rankings: (1) Chase Elliott, (2) Ryan Blaney, (3) Brian Scott, (4) Chris Buescher, (5) Regan Smith, (6) David Ragan, (7) Landon Cassill, (8) Michael McDowell, (9) Matt DiBenedetto, the rest

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FOX Fantasy NASCAR Picks for Charlotte

The good news this week is that there’s quite a few good race cars starting outside of the top 10 for this year’s Coca-Cola 600, which means we have plenty of options in the FOX Fantasy Auto game this weekend. Additionally, this is the longest race of the season at 600 miles, so there’s plenty of time for drivers starting further back to tweak on the car and make their way toward the front. In the two points-paying races here at Charlotte last season, we mostly saw the drivers that started up front also finish there, but we don’t think that’s going to be the case this weekend (at least we hope not).

Looking at our Fantasy Racing Online FOX Fantasy Auto team, we had an incredible performance at Dover a couple of weeks ago, scoring 183 points despite place differential not being counted. We now sit in 639th place overall in this game and 2nd in our private group.

FOX Fantasy Auto Picks for the Charlotte Coke 600

Photo Credit: Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Kyle Larson ($6,700) – This price for Kyle Larson makes no sense to us, so we’re going to take advantage of it while we can. The only logical explanation we can think of why Larson is priced this low is because of his less-than-stellar record here at Charlotte Motor Speedway; in five career starts at this track, Kyle has one top 10 finish (6th in the 2014 fall race) but no other result better than 18th. With that being said, you can never really count this kid out, and don’t forget that he won the Sprint Showdown last weekend. He also was in position to win the All-Star Race, but bad luck bit this #42 team again. Yeah, those races are based on strategy more than anything, but the fact still remains that the #42 Chevrolet was good enough to run up front. In Sunday’s Coca-Cola 600, Larson will start from the 24th spot, and he ranked 10th-fastest on the Saturday morning practice speed chart, which was the session that many teams thought was more important. We don’t think you can pass Kyle Larson up at this price point.

Kyle Busch ($12,800) – This #18 Toyota has been struggling a bit on the speed charts all weekend long, but if there’s any team (and driver) in the garage area that can turn it around on race day, it’s this one. Kyle Busch had a rough race at Dover a couple of weeks ago but he has still finished 1st or 2nd in five of the last seven Sprint Cup races. He’s been nothing short of a top 5 machine this season and has a rock solid history here Charlotte Motor Speedway, with ten top 5s in twenty-four career starts (41.7%) and finishes of 9th or better in thirteen of the last seventeen. The #18 Toyota will roll off the grid from 16th in this year’s Coca-Cola 600, and even a mediocre (for him) finish of 10th out of Kyle Busch will give us 37 points in this FOX Fantasy Auto game. With the likelihood of a top 5 finish being as high as it is with Rowdy, though, you can’t pass up this opportunity for place differential points at a track he runs very well at. Also, not that it matters, but the paint scheme for the #18 Toyota is pretty badass this weekend–although anything beats that ugly yellow and brown car that Rowdy has been running for the majority of 2016.

Austin Dillon taking off his helmet
Photo Credit: Drew Hallowell/Getty Images

Austin Dillon ($9,700) – We think that this price point is way too high for Austin Dillon, but we’re willing to go ahead and take that salary cap hit this weekend because of his starting spot: 28th. The #3 Chevrolet ranked 11th on the Practice #2 speed chart on Saturday morning and ended up 12th-fastest in Happy Hour, so obviously Austin Dillon has the car to make up a bunch of spots when the green flag drops on Sunday evening. Charlotte has actually been a nice track for Austin thus far during his short Sprint Cup career; in four career starts at this track, Dillon has never finished worse than 16th and he posted a career-best 7th-place finish in the fall race here last season. A mediocre 15th-place finish out of Austin Dillon here on Saturday is still going to net us 39 points in the FOX Fantasy Auto game, so this pick seems like a no-brainer to us. Still, as of this writing, only 14% of FOX players had Austin Dillon on their roster.

Matt Kenseth ($8,800) – The third no-brainer FOX Fantasy Auto pick for the Coca-Cola 600 is Matt Kenseth. Here’s a guy that has finished 15th or better in thirteen of the last fifteen Sprint Cup races at Charlotte Motor Speedway, and top 5 in three of the last five. He’s also coming off of a huge win at Dover a couple of weeks ago, which was Kenseth’s second straight top 5 finish of the 2016 season and third result of 7th or better in the last four events. This team is, once again, one of the strongest in the garage, just now they’re getting the finishes they deserve. The reason Kenseth is a no-brainer pick on Sunday–in addition to his stellar consistency record at this track–is the fact that he starts 27th. From a fantasy points perspective, Matt’s in the exact same boat here as Austin Dillon except the #20 team trumps the #3 team in pretty much every category. Kenseth struggled in Practice #2 on Saturday morning and wasn’t overly impressive during Happy Hour, but we’re not worried about that. Don’t forget that the #78 Toyota is in a league of its own this weekend and Joe Gibbs Racing has an alliance with Furniture Row. Kenseth and this #20 Toyota is capable of a solid top 10 finish on Sunday night, and you can’t pass up those kind of fantasy points in this game–especially at the moderate price point of $8,800.

Kurt Busch Monster Car
Credit: Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Kurt Busch ($11,400) – With the four drivers above picked, that leaves you with $12,000 to fill out your roster–so there’s plenty of options here. If you’re looking for maximum place differential points, then Dale Earnhardt, Jr. is probably your best pick here, as he starts 25th. You could also grab Jimmie Johnson, who looks like he has a car capable of contending here on Sunday night, but he’s going to roll off the grid in 7th. Carl Edwards is always a threat, but he starts 9th so that limits the place differential points as well. Chase Elliott would also be a nice option down at $9,100. With our team, though, we’re going with a driver who isn’t on a whole lot of rosters: Kurt Busch. As of this writing, just over 15% of FOX teams had the #41 Chevrolet picked. However, we believe that Kurt is probably one of the most reliable Fantasy NASCAR picks in the garage area, and he’s going to start Sunday’s Coca-Cola 600 from the 13th-place starting spot. So there’s room for some place differential points there. The #41 Chevrolet was the fastest in Practice #2 on Saturday morning and had decent speed on the long run. In Happy Hour, he was 2nd-fastest with the 12th-best ten-lap average. Kurt Busch has an average finish of 9.2 thus far during the 2016 season and had one of the best cars here at Charlotte in the 2015 Coke 600. This is one pick that isn’t rock solid heading into Sunday, but as of now we’re going with Kurt to fill out our Charlotte FOX roster. We just might have to switch to Jimmie Johnson, though.

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DraftKings NASCAR Drivers to Avoid for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Jerry Markland/Getty Images

There’s a whole bunch of variables that could affect the race here at Charlotte Motor Speedway on Sunday night. First is the threat of rain. We might not even race on Sunday. As far as the practice sessions from Saturday go, those were ran in the morning and in the middle of the afternoon. The Coca-Cola 600 is set to run on Sunday night. And then there’s the whole 600 miles thing. This is the longest race of the season and it’s not uncommon to see strategy and fuel mileage come into play with the finish. Historically, the fastest cars are much less likely to win at Charlotte than they are at other race tracks, which just underscores the validity of all of those additional variables.

DraftKings Drivers to Avoid for the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte

Photo Credit: Daniel Shirey/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Daniel Shirey/NASCAR via Getty Images

Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. ($6,900) – We’ve been big Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. fans this year. He’s been on our rosters more times than we’ve ever imagined. But when that #17 Ford ended up 3rd in qualifying on Thursday, the possibility of using Stenhouse in DraftKings completely went out the window. This car may be able to lay down one fast lap–we saw Ricky end up high on the speed charts during both of Saturday’s practice sessions as well–but it doesn’t have that great of long run speed, which is exactly what you need if you’re going to run up front in the Coca-Cola 600. Thus, Stenhouse isn’t going to lead many laps on Sunday night (if any), which is the only reason you should pick a driver in DraftKings that starts up front. Chances are Stenhouse is going to finish around 15th when the checkered flag waves on Sunday night, and that will only net his DraftKings owners a total of 17 points. Stay away.

Casey Mears ($6,100) – Casey Mears is an excellent sleeper pick in many Fantasy NASCAR leagues this weekend. Unfortunately, the DraftKings game is not one of them. You see, Mears qualified an impressive 17th for this year’s Coca-Cola 600, but unless we see something really crazy happen on Sunday night, that’s about the ceiling for this team finish-wise. They’re more likely to finish in the mid-20s and lose some points on place differential. Another sleeper aspect of Mears is the fact that he has won this race before, taking home the Coke 600 trophy way back in 2007. Mears finished 23rd and 18th in the two Charlotte races last season, and while he may look like a nice low-dollar option this weekend, it’d be best to avoid him.

Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images

Kevin Harvick ($10,500) – Surprised to see this name on the list? Don’t be. Essentially the reason that we are saying to avoid Kevin Harvick in DraftKings this weekend is because of his price point: he doesn’t have the car to justify that $10,500 price point. Harvick might finish 5th and lead a few laps on Sunday night, but he’s definitely not one of the drivers to beat heading into the 2016 Coca-Cola 600, and he starts 8th so that limits the amount of place differential points he could get as well. Finally, it might be that we still have a bad taste in our mouths from Dover, but this #4 pit crew needs a major overhaul. Do you really want to rely on those guys for an extra 100 miles? Harvick has finished inside the top 10 in ten of the last eleven Charlotte races, and while we have no doubt that he has the ability to make it eleven of the last twelve here on Sunday, there are simply better options at a lower cost this weekend.

Greg Biffle ($6,600) – Here’s another low-priced driver that might get some attention this weekend. Don’t fall in to the trap. Yeah, Greg Biffle finished 2nd in last year’s Coke 600, but let’s not forget that that race came down to fuel mileage. He really didn’t have a 2nd-place car. There’s a reason that that has been Biffle’s only finish better than 16th in the last six Sprint Cup races here at Charlotte. For this year’s 600-mile race, The Biff will roll off the grid from 6th, and that right there should make you stay away from him. Like his teammate, Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., Biffle isn’t going to lead many laps this weekend. When you look at the #16 team’s 2016 season thus far, they have zero top 10s and an average finish of 23.2. No thanks. Biffle started 4th in last year’s fall race here at Charlotte and ended up finishing 24th. We wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a similar slide here on Sunday night.

Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

Dale Earnhardt, Jr. ($9,400) – You’re not going to hear too many people telling you to avoid this guy in DraftKings this weekend, but hear us out on this one. Yes, this is setting up to be a typical Dale Earnhardt, Jr. weekend: he wasn’t very fast off the truck (he qualified 25th), and then gradually made improvements as the practice sessions went on. As usual, the #88 team found some speed during Happy Hour on Saturday. However, the track conditions during Happy Hour were extremely hot and slick in the middle of the afternoon. The Coca-Cola 600 is going to start in the early evening and then run through the night, so we’re not putting much emphasis on those Happy Hour speeds. So, while Junior is going to be a very popular pick in the DraftKings games this weekend, our strategy here is to not pick him and hope he disappoints. That’s going to open up the door to gain points on our competitors. Also, for what it’s worth, Charlotte just isn’t a very good race track for Earnhardt; over the last fourteen races here, Junior has just three top 10 finishes with nine results of 20th or worse. He finished 3rd in this race one year ago but if you remember back to that race, the fuel mileage aspect really helped this #88 Chevrolet.

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Charlotte Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Strategy Picks

Photo Credit: Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Charlotte, North Carolina is the hub for most NASCAR Sprint Cup teams, and all of them put a little extra effort toward running well whenever we stop at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Sunday night’s Coca-Cola 600 is the longest race of the season and this event has been known to test the engines in these race cars. Teams will be unloading their very best cars here this weekend, and because of that we’re sticking with the top teams for our Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing team. We finally had a good points week back at Dover, now we just need to finish off the Spring Segment with a great Coke 600 roster this weekend.

We did see most of the field on-track last weekend in the Sprint Showdown and then the All-Star Race. Those events–especially the latter–are basically won on strategy, so we wouldn’t recommend putting much stock into the results. If you watched the events and paid attention to how the cars actually ran, that’s worth more than the finishing order.

Yahoo! A Group Picks for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

Matt Kenseth (8 starts remaining) – We had Kenseth on our roster at Dover and left him on the bench as he went to victory lane. While that wasn’t good for our fantasy team, that win was great for the #20 Joe Gibbs Racing team: they finally got the monkey off their back. Matt can now drive a little more stress-free knowing that he is guaranteed a spot in the Chase. He can also focus on driving now and not trying to answer why his team isn’t catching any breaks. This #20 Toyota has been a fast car all season long and now the finishes are coming. In three of the last four Sprint Cup races, Kenseth has ended up 7th or higher, and he’s still led in all but one race this year. Here at Charlotte, Matt owns a career average finish of 11.5 and he has finished 4th and 3rd in the last two Coca-Cola 600s. He also sat on the pole for both races here last season. We’re jumping on the Kenseth bandwagon and keeping him on our roster for Charlotte.

Kurt Busch (9 starts remaining) – As of this writing, we’re feeling like an outside-of-the-box strategy is going to work this weekend. Just a hunch. Start saving isn’t a huge deal in the A Group, but since we’re already down to 6 starts left with Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch, we’re going to try a different direction this week. This season, Kurt Busch has actually been one of the most reliable Fantasy NASCAR picks with ten top 10 finishes in the first twelve races. This team is coming off of back-to-back top 5 finishes at Kansas and Dover and now we’re at a track that they have been very fast at as of late. In last year’s Coca-Cola 600, Kurt started 14th but ended up leading 118 laps en route to a 10th-place finish in that fuel mileage race. He bounced back with a 5th-place finish in the fall race here last season, and that makes it three Charlotte events in a row that he has had a driver rating of at least 107. We might change our mind with this pick before the rosters lock this week but we think the #41 Chevrolet is going to be a contender here on Sunday night.

Looking at the other A Group choices, you can’t go wrong with Harvick or Kyle Busch. We have 8 starts remaining with Jimmie Johnson but we’re not really considering him this week. He’s kind of in a funk both here at Charlotte and in Sprint Cup action overall. The Penske teams of Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski finished 1-2 in the All-Star Race, but once again that was a race centered on strategy. We’re still not convinced that #22 team has found the long-run speed they need. This is a great track to use Denny Hamlin but we don’t trust him enough right now.

Yahoo! B Group Picks for Charlotte

Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images

Carl Edwards (7 starts remaining) – This is one of Carl Edwards’ best tracks on the Sprint Cup circuit so we’re not opposed to using a #19 start this weekend. Thanks in part to fuel mileage, Carl is the defending winner of this race, and that event really jump started this #19 team and vaulted them to the elite group that we’re seeing on the track today. Edwards hasn’t finished worse than 11th in a points-paying race here at Charlotte since the 2011 season and we don’t see that changing here on Sunday night. Honestly, we think this #19 Toyota is going to be a legitimate threat for the 2016 Coca-Cola 600 win. Carl has had a very rough month of May thus far, so if you put a lot of stock into momentum and want to save a start, feel free to leave him off your roster. We won’t be doing that, though.

Austin Dillon (6 starts remaining) – After this weekend, Austin Dillon just may be our most-used B Group driver. Statistically, this is the 2nd-best track on the Sprint Cup schedule for Austin, right behind Daytona. In four career starts here at Charlotte, he has never finished worse than 16th, and he posted a career-best result of 7th in the fall race here last season. All of that equates to a career average finish of 13th for him. This track type has been one that Austin has excelled at over the last year and a half and that means the #3 Chevrolet should be a solid car here in Sunday’s Coca-Cola 600. This team isn’t as good now as they were in the first month of the 2016 Sprint Cup season, but the potential is there.

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images

Martin Truex, Jr. (6 starts remaining) – Truex probably had the best car in last year’s Coca-Cola 600, and now that he is in a Toyota and partnered with Joe Gibbs Racing, he might be even better. This could finally be the week that we see the #78 Toyota in victory lane. Yeah, 600 miles means that there is more time for this #78 team to make a mistake, but that also means that they have more time to recover from a mistake. None of us can deny that Truex is one of the fastest drivers in the series right now, he just needs things to fall into place during the race. It’ll happen eventually. Martin swept the top 5 in both Charlotte races last season and should be a contender for the win here on Sunday night. The only way we’re going to burn another Truex start this weekend is if he can win, so if you really want to start save you might not even put him on your roster.

Kyle Larson (7 starts remaining) – Most NASCAR fans are feeling sorry for Martin Truex, Jr. right about now, but what about Kyle Larson? He had a car that could have potentially won at Kansas before he wrecked. He then had victory within his grasps at Dover, only to fall short and finish 2nd to Matt “I Suddenly Got Rid Of My Bad Luck” Kenseth. And then Larson was leading with a few laps to go in last weekend’s All-Star Race before he hit the wall, allowing Joey Logano to collect that million-dollar check. Well, this weekend is the chance for Kyle to get some redemption. One thing about this kid is that he’s a very streaky driver, so when he starts heating up and has a bunch of speed, you should hop on the bandwagon. In the fall race here at Charlotte last year, Larson raced his way up to the top 5 but got damage after an altercation with Kyle Busch and ended up finishing 21st. He did end up 6th in the 2014 Charlotte fall race, though. We like the #42 Chevrolet a lot this weekend.

When it comes to the other B Group drivers, Jamie McMurray tends to run well here at Charlotte but hasn’t been that great this season. We expect a teens finish from Jamie Mac on Sunday night. Trevor Bayne has an average finish of 13.7 over the last six Sprint Cup races if you’re looking for a sleeper. We wouldn’t recommend him, though. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. has top 15 potential again this weekend, and Kasey Kahne has finished 14th or better in eight of his last nine starts here at Charlotte. Kahne just might make our roster this weekend before we lock down. Greg Biffle ran 2nd in last year’s Coca-Cola 600, but remember: fuel mileage.

Yahoo! C Group Picks for Charlotte

Photo Credit: NASCAR Media
Photo Credit: NASCAR Media

Well, our gamble at Dover paid off somewhat, as David Ragan was able to come away with a top 20 finish. So right now our Fantasy Racing Online Yahoo! team has 8 starts remaining with Ryan Blaney and 6 starts remaining with Chase Elliott. That means we have to find 10 more starts from lesser talent. We have two road courses and two more restrictor plate races coming up, so that number is down to six. Then we have Loudon twice, Bristol, and Dover–all short tracks, where we plan on start saving–bringing it down to two. The reason we’re saying this is because we are going with Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliott as our two C Group drivers this week. As stated earlier, we think the best course of action for the Coca-Cola 600 is to go with the best options available, and that’s what we’re doing. Blaney ran 14th in last year’s fall race here at Charlotte and Elliott finished 18th in last year’s Coke 600. We think they will both be top 10 threats here on Sunday night.

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Dover Race Day NASCAR Betting Picks

Photo Credit: Sean Gardner/Getty Images

The races at Dover International Speedway are pretty straight-forward, and there’s really only a handful of drivers that have a legitimate shot at winning (as far as pure horsepower and driving talent). Chevrolet has had a chokehold on this place as of late, winning seven of the last eight races at “The Monster Mile.” The only race they didn’t win during that span was back in 2012 when Brad Keselowski won on a fuel mileage gamble in his dodge. Our betting picks as of late have been a little cold (kind of like Dover today), but we’re confident in what we’re putting money on this week.

We typically don’t like to bet on any drivers before we see practice and qualifying, but Kevin Harvick was listed at +550 earlier this week and we jumped all over it. Now that we’ve gotten to race day, he sits as the favorite now at 4-to-1 while Kyle Busch is at 4.5-to-1. We’re pretty confident that this race is going to come down to either Harvick or Kyle Busch, too.

Race Day Betting Picks for the Dover AAA 400

The driver odds in this post are accurate as of 10:00 am ET on May 15, 2016 and came from Bovada.

Photo Credit: Sarah Crabill/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Sarah Crabill/Getty Images

BET OF THE DAY: Kevin Harvick to Win (+400) – Yes, we already have an earlier bet on Kevin Harvick to win the AAA 400 Drive for Autism today, but we’re doubling down. This #4 team finally got the monkey off their back here at Dover last fall, as Harvick got to victory lane for the first time in his career at “The Monster Mile.” And that wasn’t just a win for this team: it was a complete domination. They brought back that same chassis for this weekend’s race and we think that we’re in store for a very similar outcome today. Based on practice speeds and everything else, we think that really only Kyle Busch has a car that could compete with Harvick today. It’s going to take a mess up by this #4 team for that to happen, though, and our gut tells us Kevin Harvick is going to grab his second win of the 2016 season today. We haven’t felt this confident about the #4 Chevrolet since Phoenix.

[mk_fancy_title color=”#0c0c0c” size=”30″ font_weight=”bolder” font_family=”Economica” font_type=”google” align=”center”]Our “Bet of the Day” Picks are 4-4 this year.[/mk_fancy_title]
[vc_progress_bar values=”%5B%7B%22label%22%3A%22Wins%22%2C%22value%22%3A%2250.0%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22bar_green%22%7D%2C%7B%22label%22%3A%22Losses%22%2C%22value%22%3A%2250.0%22%2C%22color%22%3A%22bar_red%22%7D%5D” units=”%”]

Photo Credit: Matt Sullivan/NASCAR via Getty Images
Photo Credit: Matt Sullivan/NASCAR via Getty Images

BET OF THE DAY #2: Martin Truex, Jr. Top 5 Finish (+105) – We’re feeling pretty confident with our both our Fantasy NASCAR picks and our betting picks today at Dover, so you’re getting a second “Bet of the Day.” After this #78 team got their win taken away from them at Kansas last week thanks to a part failure on the tire, they have to be out looking for revenge this weekend at Dover. And if you look back at last season, this was right about the point of the year where Truex was about to grab the win at Pocono. We think a trip to victory lane is coming soon for this #78 team as well. There’s no doubt that there’s speed in this Toyota, as Truex looked very solid over the long run during Happy Hour on Saturday and had the 2nd-best ten-lap average right behind Kevin Harvick. Statistically, “The Monster Mile” has actually been Truex’s best track over the last two seasons, as he has an average finish of 7.5 over the last four races here. We have Martin ranked 3rd heading into today’s AAA 400 Drive for Autism, and if Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch run into trouble during the race, we just might see this #78 Toyota in victory lane.

Chevrolet Winning Manufacturer (EVEN) – Here’s a nice way to double up. We have Kevin Harvick ranked as the hands-down favorite going into today’s AAA 400 Drive for Autism. Kyle Busch’s Toyota might lead some laps today, but we honestly think it’s going to be a dominating effort by this #4 team. Don’t forget that they brought the same chassis that they raced last fall here with–leading 355 of the 400 laps en route to Harvick’s first win at “The Monster Mile.” We’re going all in on Kevin Harvick today. Any time he is fast off the truck and on the pole, the rest of the garage should be worried.

Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images
Photo Credit: Todd Warshaw/Getty Images

Chase Elliott Top 5 Finish (+375) – It takes a lot of talent to tame Miles the Monster in your first Sprint Cup race at Dover, but I think it’s been made pretty clear that Chase Elliott is in no way lacking in the talent department. It might be a tall order to expect a top 5 finish out of this rookie today, but we’re confident that he has the car to do so–and that’s half the battle. He also has a very experienced team that has had success here at Dover in the past. The #24 Chevrolet was one of the few cars that showed consistent speed through both practice sessions on Saturday, and during Happy Hour, Chase was 5th-fastest on both the overall speed chart as well as the ten-lap average chart. Looking at the last five Sprint Cup races overall, Chase has posted three top 5 finishes (including his 4th-place run at Bristol) and hasn’t ended up worse than 12th. He’s going to need to have a mistake-free race here at Dover on Sunday to even have a chance at a top 5, but we think he can do it, and it’s worth a small bet.

LATE ADD: As far as driver matchups go, we really didn’t see many that we loved. One that caught our eye and we’re putting a small bet on is Danica Patrick (+120) over Casey Mears.

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