Sometimes the Gambling Gods giveth, and sometimes they taketh.
They tooketh (?) at Texas a couple of weeks back with Cody Ware getting wrecked and ruining the Shitbox Special bet despite being significantly faster than the other shitbox cars, but boy are they giveth-ing (I’m just making up words now) it back this week at Martinsville.
There is a Top 10 prop bet on FanDuel Sportsbook this week that is so massively mis-priced that I’ve already placed my largest wager ever on it–and I might not be done dumping money on it.
So what is is this prop bet that’s an absolute slam dunk?
Ryan Blaney Top 10 Finish (-150)
I’m honestly not sure whether FanDuel Sportsbook just made a massive mistake with this line, or whether they’re baiting people to bet it and have plans to purposely sabotage the #12 Ford on Sunday, but, for comparison, DraftKings Sportsbook has Ryan Blaney at -400 to finish inside the top 10–meaning you would have to wager $400 to profit $100. On FanDuel, you only need to wager $150 to profit $100. Also, comparing other lines, DraftKings Sportsbook has Blaney at -115 to finish top 5.
Ryan Blaney is a stellar racer at Martinsville Speedway, and has a legitimate shot at winning the race on Sunday. His record at this race track is up there with the best in the series; five top 5 finishes in the last seven races, and only one result worse than 11th in the last eight. When we raced here back in April of this year, Blaney led 157 laps and won both of the Stages before finishing 11th thanks to a late put penalty with around 50 laps to go.
Sunday’s race at Martinsville is bound to be a bit unpredictable, and there’s a chance that Ryan Blaney has issues. But if nothing crazy happens, there is no doubt in my mind that this #12 Ford is going to be a legitimate top 5 contender and a shoo in for a top 10 finish.
There is massive value here with Ryan Blaney Top 10 Finish (-150). This is not only my favorite bet of the week, but it’s probably my favorite bet of the entire 2021 season (right up there with Christopher Bell over, ironically, Ryan Blaney at Richmond earlier this year).