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Dover International Speedway is another short track where one mistake can ruin your entire day. However, unlike Loudon last weekend, Dover tries to race like an intermediate race track, and with that comes some of the best racing all year, at least in our opinion. The Sprint Cup Series teams got limited practice this weekend and the starting lineup was set by points, so anyone that tells you they know exactly what’s going to happen today is a liar. Looking at the last three fall races here at “The Monster Mile,” each of those have been dominated by one driver (meaning at least half of the race led).  We don’t see that happening today but it’s possible.

This week we are in a major time crunch, so the Lineups below aren’t as easy on the eyes as previous weeks. If you haven’t already, please read our Drivers to Target at Dover 2 and Drivers to Avoid at Dover 2 posts.

Lineup #1

Kyle Busch was one of the few drivers that focused on race trim in both practice sessions this weekend. He starts up in 3rd today and if he can get to the front early, the #18 Toyota could easily lead 100+ laps. This Lineup is fading Kevin Harvick, so if he has a bad (or even mediocre) day, this should be a great one. We’re not totally confident in David Ragan but he has some great potential at a low price.

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Kyle Larson
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Ryan Newman
  6. David Ragan

Lineup #2

If the last five races are any indication, Kevin Harvick is going to have a dominant race car today and should be the driver who wins. He starts 6th and has a car that can lead a bunch of laps. So while his $10,900 salary is extraordinarily high, he’s probably going to be worth it.

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Jamie McMurray
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Ty Dillon

Lineup #3

Martin Truex, Jr. is another driver you have to watch out for in terms of laps led. He had one of the best cars here at Dover last time and that #78 team has been on fire lately. The only downside is that he starts 2nd for today’s Citizen Soldier 400, so if he would have problems that’s going to be a bunch of negative FPTS for place differential.

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  1. Martin Truex, Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Chase Elliott
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Paul Menard

Lineup #4

This Lineup doesn’t get any of the very high-dollar drivers ($10,000+) so for this one to be successful we have to hope that someone like Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, or Martin Truex, Jr. doesn’t dominate the race today. While it’s certainly possible that one of those guys will log a bunch of laps led, it’s not a guarantee.

  1. Kyle Larson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Ryan Blaney
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. David Ragan

Lineup #5

Brad Keselowski is on the pole, and even though he made our Drivers to Avoid list, we think it’s best to cover all of your bases in case he does have a car that will lead 100+ laps today. He’s also very hard to pass up at that cheap $9,100 price.

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Chase Elliott
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Danica Patrick
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As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started.