These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Saturday afternoon’s race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me.
- How much does starting position really mean here at Loudon? Well, eight of the last nine races here have been won from a driver starting outside of the top 5, and three of the last four have been won by a driver starting outside of the top 10.
- We typically see two dominating drivers here at Loudon. Both races last year had two drivers who led 100+ laps, and all four of those drivers started inside the top 10. That should be the case on Sunday as well.
- The pole sitter has not won at Loudon since the 2011 season, although the driver starting P1 has finished 7th or better in five of the last six races here.
- If you’re looking for similar tracks to New Hampshire Motor Speedway, check out the races we’ve ran at Phoenix, Martinsville, and Richmond this season.
Projected Base FPTS at Loudon
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base DraftKings FPTS–which doesn’t take into account fastest laps or laps led points–as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps or laps led–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by the average projected finish of the drivers.
| Driver | DraftKings Salary | Starting Position | Avg. Projected Finish | Avg Proj Base FPTS | Dollar Per FPT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | $10,500 | 7 | 01.8 | 49.2 | $213 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $10,300 | 1 | 03.2 | 39.8 | $259 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,800 | 8 | 04.6 | 42.8 | $229 |
| Kevin Harvick | $10,000 | 12 | 05.6 | 44.8 | $223 |
| Chase Elliott | $9,100 | 11 | 05.6 | 43.8 | $208 |
| Kyle Larson | $9,700 | 39 | 06.0 | 71.0 | $137 |
| Matt Kenseth | $9,300 | 3 | 06.2 | 34.6 | $269 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,900 | 10 | 08.4 | 37.2 | $266 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $9,600 | 2 | 09.6 | 26.8 | $358 |
| Joey Logano | $8,800 | 13 | 10.0 | 37.0 | $238 |
| Jamie McMurray | $8,600 | 4 | 10.4 | 27.2 | $316 |
| Ryan Blaney | $8,300 | 15 | 10.4 | 38.2 | $217 |
| Erik Jones | $7,900 | 6 | 10.4 | 29.2 | $271 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $8,000 | 18 | 12.6 | 36.8 | $217 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,100 | 9 | 13.0 | 27.0 | $300 |
| Daniel Suarez | $7,500 | 14 | 14.8 | 28.4 | $264 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,300 | 24 | 15.4 | 37.2 | $196 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,400 | 17 | 15.8 | 29.4 | $252 |
| Clint Bowyer | $8,700 | 19 | 16.0 | 31.0 | $281 |
| Kasey Kahne | $7,600 | 5 | 17.2 | 14.6 | $521 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,000 | 26 | 18.4 | 33.2 | $211 |
| Aric Almirola | $6,600 | 21 | 19.6 | 25.8 | $256 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,800 | 23 | 22.4 | 22.2 | $306 |
| Trevor Bayne | $6,900 | 27 | 22.6 | 25.8 | $267 |
| Paul Menard | $6,500 | 29 | 22.6 | 27.8 | $234 |
| Ty Dillon | $6,700 | 25 | 23.2 | 22.6 | $296 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,200 | 30 | 24.4 | 25.2 | $246 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,300 | 22 | 24.8 | 16.4 | $384 |
| Michael McDowell | $6,000 | 20 | 24.8 | 14.4 | $417 |
| David Ragan | $5,500 | 32 | 28.6 | 18.8 | $293 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,700 | 33 | 29.6 | 17.8 | $320 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,400 | 28 | 29.8 | 12.4 | $435 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,000 | 16 | 29.8 | 00.4 | $12,500 |
| Corey Lajoie | $4,700 | 31 | 31.2 | 12.6 | $373 |
| Reed Sorenson | $5,200 | 35 | 33.0 | 13.0 | $400 |
| Gray Gaulding | $4,900 | 34 | 33.4 | 11.2 | $438 |
| Ryan Sieg | $4,500 | 36 | 35.4 | 09.2 | $489 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | $4,800 | 37 | 36.0 | 09.0 | $533 |
| Josh Bilicki | $4,600 | 38 | 36.0 | 10.0 | $460 |
Complete stud analysis! Go bruh!