These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Sunday’s Bank of America 500, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me.
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- We’re back at a 1.5-mile race track this week with Charlotte Motor Speedway. This is a 500-mile race we have scheduled, so that means it’s going to be 334 laps in length. Therefore, there will be 83.5 FPTS up for grabs for laps led and around 150 available for fastest laps (depending on the number of caution laps).
- Because of inclement weather, there was no meaningful practice this weekend. The Cup Series teams got in one session on Friday, but all of those practice speeds were done in qualifying trim. Therefore, it’ll be best to analyze the races that have been ran at other 1.5-mile tracks this year.
- The last three Bank of America 500s have been won by a driver starting inside the top 11.
- Expect to see quite a few drivers lead here on Sunday. Typically, there are a couple of dominators in the Bank of America 500.
- There is rain in the forecast for this weekend’s race, and we might be looking at a shortened race. If that is the case, place differential FPTS become more important than dominator points.
Projected FPTS at Charlotte 2
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
| Driver | DraftKings Salary | Starting Position | Avg. Projected Finish | Proj Laps Led | Avg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTS | Dollar Per FPT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | $10,600 | 4 | 03.0 | 88 | 66.4 | $160 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $10,900 | 17 | 03.3 | 39 | 63.8 | $171 |
| Kyle Larson | $10,400 | 10 | 03.8 | 56 | 60.2 | $173 |
| Kevin Harvick | $10,200 | 3 | 03.5 | 62 | 56.7 | $180 |
| Erik Jones | $7,900 | 38 | 14.8 | 0 | 52.4 | $151 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,200 | 1 | 05.3 | 45 | 49.5 | $186 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $10,000 | 25 | 10.0 | 2 | 48.7 | $205 |
| Joey Logano | $9,600 | 28 | 13.0 | 0 | 44.0 | $218 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,900 | 6 | 07.0 | 11 | 40.4 | $245 |
| Matt Kenseth | $8,600 | 2 | 05.2 | 16 | 39.2 | $219 |
| Chase Elliott | $9,400 | 7 | 07.8 | 9 | 38.5 | $244 |
| Jamie McMurray | $8,800 | 18 | 10.5 | 0 | 38.0 | $232 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,300 | 8 | 10.3 | 2 | 34.1 | $243 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $7,800 | 23 | 16.7 | 0 | 32.6 | $239 |
| Ryan Blaney | $9,000 | 15 | 12.7 | 0 | 32.2 | $280 |
| Daniel Suarez | $7,500 | 14 | 13.5 | 0 | 30.8 | $244 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,100 | 11 | 14.8 | 0 | 30.6 | $232 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,300 | 22 | 18.5 | 0 | 28.8 | $253 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,700 | 13 | 15.2 | 0 | 28.2 | $273 |
| Trevor Bayne | $7,000 | 26 | 20.7 | 0 | 27.2 | $257 |
| Aric Almirola | $5,800 | 24 | 21.8 | 0 | 26.0 | $223 |
| Clint Bowyer | $8,100 | 5 | 12.0 | 4 | 24.0 | $338 |
| Ty Dillon | $6,700 | 27 | 25.3 | 0 | 20.2 | $332 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,100 | 12 | 19.7 | 0 | 19.6 | $311 |
| Kasey Kahne | $8,000 | 9 | 17.8 | 0 | 19.4 | $412 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,900 | 19 | 22.7 | 0 | 18.2 | $379 |
| David Ragan | $5,700 | 31 | 28.7 | 0 | 18.2 | $313 |
| Paul Menard | $6,600 | 20 | 24.3 | 0 | 18.0 | $367 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,500 | 32 | 29.7 | 0 | 17.6 | $313 |
| Corey Lajoie | $5,100 | 39 | 33.2 | 0 | 16.6 | $307 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,200 | 30 | 29.0 | 0 | 16.0 | $325 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,900 | 16 | 23.3 | 0 | 12.8 | $461 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,400 | 29 | 30.8 | 0 | 12.2 | $443 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,300 | 21 | 25.8 | 0 | 11.4 | $553 |
| Brett Moffitt | $4,500 | 40 | 36.8 | 0 | 11.2 | $402 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | $4,700 | 37 | 35.3 | 0 | 11.0 | $427 |
| Reed Sorenson | $5,000 | 34 | 33.8 | 0 | 10.4 | $481 |
| Timmy Hill | $4,600 | 36 | 35.0 | 0 | 10.0 | $460 |
| Gray Gaulding | $4,800 | 35 | 35.8 | 0 | 07.4 | $649 |
| BJ McLeod | $4,900 | 33 | 37.0 | 00.0 | 03.4 | $1,441 |
