These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me.
Give me a follow on Twitter: @FanRacingOnline
- It’s another 1.5-mile track this weekend. Unlike the 500-mile race we had at Charlotte a couple of weeks ago, however, Sunday’s race at Kansas is only 400 miles of scheduled distance. That means it’s going to be 267 laps in length, giving us 66.75 FPTS up for grabs for laps led and around 115 FPTS available for fastest laps (depending on the number of caution laps).
- The drivers that start up front tend to lead the laps here at Kansas. Truex (104 laps led) and Blaney (83 laps led) started 3rd and 1st, respectively, back in May.
- There is plenty of data available on 1.5-mile tracks from this season. I would recommend looking at that and taking each driver’s practice speeds at Kansas this weekend into considering. Typically the same drivers finish up front at tracks like this.
- Click here to see my GPP Plays and Fades for Kansas 2.
Projected FPTS at Kansas 2
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
| Driver | DraftKings Salary | Starting Position | Avg. Projected Finish | Proj Laps Led | Avg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTS | Dollar Per FPT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | $8,500 | 40 | 07.5 | 5 | 70.1 | $121 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $10,800 | 1 | 02.0 | 111 | 69.0 | $157 |
| Kevin Harvick | $9,600 | 2 | 02.3 | 80 | 63.2 | $152 |
| Kyle Busch | $10,300 | 7 | 03.3 | 35 | 57.2 | $180 |
| Kyle Larson | $9,800 | 13 | 04.7 | 15 | 51.0 | $192 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $9,900 | 12 | 07.8 | 12 | 44.6 | $222 |
| Chase Elliott | $9,100 | 14 | 08.8 | 0 | 39.2 | $232 |
| Joey Logano | $9,300 | 17 | 12.0 | 0 | 36.2 | $257 |
| Daniel Suarez | $7,400 | 5 | 08.8 | 7 | 34.4 | $215 |
| Brad Keselowski | $10,100 | 10 | 10.8 | 0 | 32.4 | $312 |
| Matt Kenseth | $9,000 | 3 | 07.2 | 1 | 32.1 | $281 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,100 | 15 | 14.5 | 0 | 31.0 | $261 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,600 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 30.4 | $250 |
| Denny Hamlin | $8,800 | 4 | 09.0 | 1 | 30.3 | $291 |
| Kasey Kahne | $8,200 | 21 | 17.8 | 0 | 30.2 | $272 |
| Trevor Bayne | $7,200 | 28 | 20.2 | 0 | 29.6 | $243 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,800 | 24 | 19.0 | 0 | 28.8 | $271 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $8,300 | 19 | 16.5 | 0 | 28.6 | $290 |
| Ty Dillon | $6,800 | 29 | 22.2 | 0 | 28.6 | $238 |
| Erik Jones | $8,000 | 6 | 11.3 | 0 | 28.4 | $282 |
| Jamie McMurray | $8,400 | 8 | 10.5 | 0 | 28.0 | $300 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,400 | 26 | 22.0 | 0 | 25.6 | $250 |
| Clint Bowyer | $8,700 | 9 | 12.8 | 0 | 25.4 | $343 |
| Danica Patrick | $7,000 | 22 | 22.2 | 0 | 23.6 | $297 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,700 | 11 | 16.3 | 0 | 23.0 | $335 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,700 | 20 | 21.5 | 0 | 20.0 | $335 |
| Paul Menard | $6,500 | 23 | 24.0 | 0 | 19.8 | $328 |
| Aric Almirola | $6,300 | 25 | 25.3 | 0 | 17.8 | $354 |
| Michael McDowell | $6,100 | 16 | 22.5 | 0 | 15.2 | $401 |
| David Ragan | $5,900 | 27 | 28.2 | 0 | 14.6 | $404 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,600 | 30 | 30.2 | 0 | 13.6 | $412 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,800 | 31 | 29.8 | 0 | 13.4 | $433 |
| Reed Sorenson | $5,200 | 37 | 33.7 | 0 | 13.0 | $400 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,400 | 35 | 32.8 | 0 | 12.6 | $429 |
| Corey Lajoie | $5,500 | 34 | 32.7 | 0 | 12.0 | $458 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | $4,800 | 38 | 36.3 | 0 | 08.4 | $571 |
| Brett Moffitt | $5,000 | 32 | 35.3 | 0 | 05.6 | $893 |
| Derrike Cope | $4,500 | 39 | 39.0 | 0 | 04.6 | $978 |
| Gray Gaulding | $4,900 | 33 | 36.5 | 0 | 03.0 | $1,633 |
| BJ McLeod | $4,600 | 36 | 38.5 | 0 | 02.4 | $1,917 |
