These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for today’s First Data 500, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me.
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- We had qualifying earlier today, which means there is limited time to set your DraftKings lineups (thanks to NASCAR for that schedule). Because of that, this is the only post for DraftKings that I will post this week–no Plays and Fades, no Pivots.
- Dominator points should be your main target today. There are 500 laps scheduled for this Martinsville race, which means there are 125 FPTS for laps led and probably around 220 FPTS for fastest laps (depending on how many cautions there are).
- There typically aren’t many surprises here at Martinsville; the drivers that have been good here in the past will be fast in today’s race at well. We usually see many of the same faces up front here, which is why Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have 15 wins here between the two.
- Don’t forget that pit stalls this week were determined by last weekend’s qualifying results.
Projected FPTS at Martinsville 2
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
| Driver | DraftKings Salary | Starting Position | Avg. Projected Finish | Proj Laps Led | Avg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTS | Dollar Per FPT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | $11,000 | 14 | 02.3 | 111 | 82.4 | $134 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,600 | 7 | 05.2 | 85 | 64.5 | $149 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $9,800 | 24 | 07.8 | 42 | 62.9 | $156 |
| Chase Elliott | $9,400 | 3 | 04.8 | 92 | 62.4 | $151 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,200 | 6 | 04.2 | 38 | 52.5 | $175 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $11,200 | 2 | 04.2 | 44 | 48.8 | $230 |
| Matt Kenseth | $9,300 | 17 | 08.3 | 5 | 47.5 | $196 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,000 | 27 | 11.0 | 0 | 46.2 | $130 |
| Joey Logano | $9,000 | 1 | 09.0 | 52 | 43.8 | $205 |
| Kevin Harvick | $10,200 | 13 | 10.7 | 2 | 40.3 | $253 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $8,000 | 21 | 14.7 | 0 | 39.0 | $205 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,400 | 18 | 11.7 | 0 | 37.6 | $197 |
| Kyle Larson | $10,400 | 9 | 08.3 | 3 | 35.8 | $291 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,500 | 25 | 16.7 | 0 | 35.4 | $212 |
| Jamie McMurray | $8,500 | 16 | 12.3 | 0 | 34.8 | $244 |
| Clint Bowyer | $8,800 | 5 | 09.0 | 21 | 33.5 | $263 |
| Trevor Bayne | $6,400 | 34 | 24.3 | 0 | 31.6 | $203 |
| David Ragan | $5,700 | 31 | 24.3 | 0 | 27.8 | $205 |
| Daniel Suarez | $7,200 | 15 | 15.5 | 0 | 26.6 | $271 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,800 | 29 | 25.2 | 0 | 26.2 | $260 |
| Ty Dillon | $7,000 | 26 | 23.0 | 0 | 25.6 | $273 |
| Kasey Kahne | $7,900 | 12 | 16.0 | 0 | 25.2 | $313 |
| Erik Jones | $8,600 | 8 | 16.5 | 0 | 22.8 | $377 |
| Paul Menard | $6,600 | 19 | 21.3 | 0 | 21.4 | $308 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,700 | 22 | 21.7 | 0 | 20.0 | $385 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,200 | 23 | 24.7 | 0 | 19.4 | $320 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,500 | 33 | 29.3 | 0 | 19.0 | $289 |
| Ryan Blaney | $8,200 | 4 | 15.3 | 5 | 18.1 | $454 |
| Aric Almirola | $5,900 | 10 | 19.5 | 0 | 16.0 | $369 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,800 | 20 | 23.0 | 0 | 16.0 | $363 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,300 | 11 | 19.8 | 0 | 15.4 | $539 |
| Corey Lajoie | $5,300 | 36 | 32.7 | 0 | 14.8 | $358 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,600 | 28 | 28.2 | 0 | 14.4 | $389 |
| Hermie Sadler | $4,400 | 40 | 34.8 | 0 | 14.0 | $314 |
| Gray Gaulding | $4,600 | 35 | 33.7 | 0 | 13.4 | $343 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,100 | 30 | 30.7 | 0 | 13.2 | $386 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | $4,900 | 37 | 34.8 | 0 | 11.8 | $415 |
| Carl Long | $4,700 | 39 | 35.7 | 0 | 11.4 | $412 |
| Reed Sorenson | $5,000 | 32 | 34.3 | 0 | 08.0 | $625 |
| Kyle Weatherman | $4,300 | 38 | 38.2 | 0 | 06.4 | $672 |
